Alpha Medonus

This article builds on our six-month review of Coffee C futures price action. If you haven’t read Part 1 yet, start here: https://www.alpha-medonus.com/post/arabica-coffee-price-outlook-2026-coffee-c-futures-brazil-weather-tariffs-and-six-month-market-t Once a major rally passes, the coffee market changes character. As the market moves into January and February, Coffee C is no longer reacting to shock events. Instead, it enters a phase where conviction is tested. The urgency that defined the...

By Hiwot Argaw In Coffee, Certainty Is a Luxury Over the last six months , the Coffee C (Arabica) futures market has experienced extreme volatility. Moving from seasonal declines to historic highs, then correcting again. These moves were not random. They followed distinct market phases shaped by Brazil’s harvest cycle, U.S. tariff risk, logistics constraints, and shifting buyer behavior, as reflected in price action and certified stock data from ICE Futures U.S. Understanding the last six...

Every decision from which cherry is picked to how it’s dried and stored directly affects cup quality, market value, and consumer...